IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.2	#289
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.7	#23
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#274

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.7	#280

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.1%	7.4%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.6	15.3

.500 or above	9.4%	31.2%	8.1%
.500 or above in Conference	31.5%	52.8%	30.1%
Conference Champion	2.5%	6.6%	2.2%
Last Place in Conference	21.3%	9.7%	22.0%

First Four	1.0%	0.6%	1.1%
First Round	2.6%	6.9%	2.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 5.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 6	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	82	@ UCLA	L	75-92	6%
Nov 09, 2019	164	San Diego	L	71-75	35%
Nov 12, 2019	113	@ Stanford	L	70-84	10%
Nov 14, 2019	19	@ St. Mary's	L	59-83	2%
Nov 24, 2019	31	@ Arizona	L	65-87	3%
Nov 28, 2019	36	Providence	L	66-84	5%
Dec 07, 2019	247	Pacific	W	72-71	51%
Dec 15, 2019	64	@ USC	L	71-90	5%
Dec 19, 2019	226	Southern Utah	L	79-80	49%
Dec 21, 2019	236	Utah Valley	L	76-77	50%
Dec 23, 2019	168	@ Seattle	L	70-80	20%
Dec 28, 2019	7	@ Florida	L	57-84	1%
Jan 08, 2020	208	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	79-86	27%
Jan 11, 2020	160	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	68-78	19%
Jan 16, 2020	266	UC Davis	W	72-70	55%
Jan 18, 2020	213	Cal St. Fullerton	L	77-78	46%
Jan 22, 2020	106	UC Irvine	L	69-77	24%
Jan 30, 2020	296	@ UC Riverside	L	69-72	41%
Feb 01, 2020	160	UC Santa Barbara	L	71-75	36%
Feb 05, 2020	327	@ Cal Poly	W	75-74	51%
Feb 13, 2020	183	@ Hawaii	L	70-78	23%
Feb 15, 2020	296	UC Riverside	W	72-69	61%
Feb 19, 2020	106	@ UC Irvine	L	66-80	12%
Feb 22, 2020	183	Hawaii	L	73-75	42%
Feb 26, 2020	208	Cal St. Northridge	L	82-83	46%
Feb 29, 2020	266	@ UC Davis	L	69-73	36%
Mar 05, 2020	327	Cal Poly	W	78-72	69%
Mar 07, 2020	213	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	74-81	28%
Projected Record						9 - 19	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	1.3	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.0				5.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	2.6	3.0	1.2	0.2	0.0					7.7	3rd
4th							0.1	1.0	4.0	4.1	1.3	0.1							10.6	4th
5th						0.1	1.5	5.2	4.4	1.2	0.1	0.0							12.4	5th
6th				0.0	0.2	2.3	6.1	5.1	1.0	0.1									14.8	6th
7th			0.0	0.6	3.2	7.0	4.7	1.1	0.1										16.7	7th
8th		0.1	1.3	4.6	6.2	3.4	0.7	0.0											16.3	8th
9th	0.9	2.9	4.2	4.0	1.7	0.3	0.0												14.0	9th

Total	0.9	3.0	5.5	9.3	11.3	13.1	13.1	12.4	10.2	8.2	5.7	3.7	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	93.4%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
13-3	64.8%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.0
12-4	35.0%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-5	11.7%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.5%	2.5		1.2	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%		42.4%	42.4%		12.2													0.0			0.0		0.0
15-1	0.2%		29.3%	29.3%		13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-2	0.4%		35.0%	35.0%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-3	1.0%		23.9%	23.9%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.8
12-4	2.1%		17.1%	17.1%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.8
11-5	3.7%		13.9%	13.9%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.2
10-6	5.7%		7.9%	7.9%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	5.2
9-7	8.2%		6.0%	6.0%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.3	7.7
8-8	10.2%		3.3%	3.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	9.8
7-9	12.4%		2.6%	2.6%		15.9																0.0	0.3	12.1
6-10	13.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	12.9
5-11	13.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
4-12	11.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
3-13	9.3%																							9.3
2-14	5.5%																							5.5
1-15	3.0%																							3.0
0-16	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		3.1%	3.1%	0.0%	15.2												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.7	96.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%